Dallas, TX -- (SBWIRE) -- 09/11/2013 -- The Israeli petrochemicals industry is set for export-oriented growth in 2013, which should overcome the negative effects of government austerity measures on domestic consumption. However, this exposes it to increased risk and any further crisis in the eurozone could have a severe impact on the sector's performance.
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The extent to which the Israeli petrochemicals industry will benefit from growth will depend on the sector's competitiveness. Growth in natural gas production, with the beginning of production in the Tamar gas field, will provide an opportunity to reduce feedstock costs. A new hydrocracker at Carmel Olefins' Haifa refinery, installed in Q113, should boost long-term naphtha availability and improve margins. Meanwhile, recent cuts to interest rates have significantly slowed the appreciation of the shekel, which gained 11.4% as of June 2013 since hitting multi-year lows in July 2012. We see the unit trading sideways over the coming quarters, which will benefit Israeli exporters.
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Few Points form TOC:
Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl) .. . 45
Product Prices Move Back Up But No Spikes Expected .. 45
Narrower US Market Crude-Product Spreads . 47
Weak Demand Persists . 48
Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts, US$/bbl .. . 51
Supply: Supported By Global Refining Capacity .. 52
Naphtha: Gas Renaissance Hits Demand .. 55
Gasoline And Gasoil/Diesel: Subsidies & Fuel Efficiency Cap Upward Movement . 57
Jet Fuel: Slump Restricts Upward Movement .. 59
Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volumes ... 61
Bunker Fuels: No Rest To Downward Movement In Sight .. 61
Demographic Forecast . 64
Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000) .. . 65
Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total) .66
Table: Israel's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020 ..67
Table: Israel's Rural/Urban Population Split, 1990-2020 .. 67
Glossary .. 68
Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms ..68
Methodology . 69
Chemicals And Petrochemicals Industry . 69
Cross Checks . 70
Risk/Reward Ratings . 70
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