Report Published: "Argentina Retail Report Q4 2014"

New Retailing research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research

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Boston, MA -- (SBWire) -- 11/18/2014 --We expect household spending on the retail sector in Argentina to experience moderate growth over the forecast period to 2018. However, investor pessimism following the country's July 2014 technical default is dampening interest in the market and a significant proportion of the population is still below the poverty line. However, the number of households falling into the middle-income bracket of USD10,000-plus is set to rise steadily, and almost the entire population is situated in urban areas, maximising opportunities for retailers.

The latest Argentina retail report provides an extensive and comprehensive forecast of various retail indicators including household spending, and headline total spending across each retail subsector, household income and employment forecasts, demographic forecasts, and a detailed breakdown of household and per capita spending across a large number of retail areas including food and drink, healthcare and insurance, consumer electronics, toys, pets, gardens, household goods, and a number of other subsectors.

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Positive factors such as increasing disposable incomes and a taste for aspirational products are behind the forecast growth in household spending on the Argentine retail sector. Availability of consumer credit is also likely to see the value of the retail segment increase over the period, with the largest annual increase forecast to come from alcoholic drinks & tobacco (12.6%) education and clothing & footwear (11.9% each). However, the bulk of the household budget will continue to go on food & non-alcoholic drinks, transport and housing & utilities throughout our forecast period, although the outlook for grocery sector growth is uncertain as the government uses price controls to try to slow inflation.

We see modestly stronger real private consumption growth in 2015, at 1.5%, up from a forecast 0.5% in 2014. This is due to statistical base effects, along with our view that the Argentine government will accede to...

The Argentina Retail Report has been researched at source and features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent assessment and forecasts for the retail sector. The report examines key drivers of retail sales growth and future prospects, including consumer spending and private sector investment.

BMI's Argentina Retail Report also examines the level of development and potential for growth of the retail sector, the commercial initiatives of major players, changing consumer demographics that influence demand and the regulatory environment. Key sub-sectors include mass grocery retail, autos, over-the-counter pharmaceuticals, computers and consumer electronics.

Key Benefits

- Benchmark BMI's independent retail industry forecasts for Argentina to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Argentinian retail market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Argentina through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI?s key forecasts and industry analysis, plus a discussion of major industry developments and a snapshot of key short-term demand-driving macroeconomic movements.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the retail sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

BMI Industry Forecasts

There are four separate 5-year forecast modules in the retail reports. These are:

Headline Retail Forecast: Total Household Spending, (US$bn and local currency, % growth, % GDP, per capita, per household); Spending by Retail Sector for: food and non-alcoholic drink, alcoholic drink, clothing and footwear, housing and utilities, furnishings and home, health, transport, recreation, education, transport, restaurants and hotels, personal care and insurance (US$bn and local currency, % growth, % GDP, % of total spending)

Retail Sector Forecast: Breakdown of Food, Non Alcoholic Drink, Alcohol, Tobacco, Clothing, Footwear, Household Goods, Furnishings, Appliances, Glass and Tableware, Household Textiles, Consumer Electronics, Garden Toys and Pets, Home and Garden tools, Personal Care, Personal Effects Spending (US$bn, % Growth);

Household Income and Numbers Forecast: Number of Households (?000,% growth); gross income per household and per capita; net income per household and per capita; tax and social contributions per capita; breakdown of household incomes ? US$5000+, US$10,000+ US$50000+ (?000, % of total); labour force, employment and unemployment (?000, % change)

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Browse all Retailing research reports at Fast Market Research

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