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United States Business Forecast Report Q1 2015, New Report Launched

Market Research Reports, Inc. has announced the addition of “United States Business Forecast Report Q1 2015” research report to their offering.


Lewes, DE -- (SBWIRE) -- 10/23/2014 -- The US economy will accelerate slightly this year, with real GDP growth increasing to 2.3% from 2.2% in 2013. Stronger contributions from personal consumption expenditure growth will be offset somewhat by slower fixed investment growth and a contraction in government spending, as well as a negative contribution from net exports. The federal government's fiscal accounts will show another year of substantial improvement, due to stronger revenue collection and continued fiscal restraint due to the budget sequester. We forecast the deficit will narrow to 3.0% of GDP from 4.0% of GDP in 2013. S

tronger domestic oil and gas production will reduce the need for imported energy again in 2014, but this dynamic will be offset by accelerating domestic economic activity, which will boost imports. We forecast a 2.2% of GDP current account deficit this year, the narrowest since 1997. We continue to believe that the US Federal Reserve will wind down its current quantitative easing programme by end-2014. Substantial slack remains in the labour market, and in light of a weak inflation outlook we do not anticipate the first hike to the Fed funds rate until H215.

We believe that Republicans are heavily favoured to retain control of the US House of Representatives and slightly favoured to take control of the Senate from Democrats in the November mid-term elections. This will not represent a significant change to the status quo regarding the difficulty of passing legislation, since any major bill passed by the Republican Congress can still be vetoed by Democratic President Obama.

Major Forecast Changes
We have upgraded our 2014 GDP growth forecast to 2.3%, from 2.1% previously, due in large part to altered methodology and historical revisions by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. We are also now forecasting growth of 2.7% in 2015, up from 2.6%.

The United States Business Forecast Report helps businesses with market assessment, strategic planning and decision making to promote growth and profitability in the United States and is an essential tool for CEOs, Chairmen, Finance Directors/CFOs, Managing Directors, Marketing/Sales Directors with commercial interests in this emerging market.

An influential new analysis of the United States' economic, political and financial prospects through end-2017, just published by award-winning forecasters, Business Monitor International (Publisher).

Key Uses:

- Forecast the pace and stability of the United States' economic and industry growth through end-2017.

- Identify and evaluate adverse political and economic trends, to facilitate risk mitigation.

- Assess the critical shortcomings of the business environment that pose hidden barriers and costs to corporate profitability.

- Contextualise {the United States' country risks against regional peers using Publisher's country comparative Risk Ratings system.

- Evaluate external threats to doing business in the United States, including currency volatility, the commodity price boom and protectionist policies.

- The United States Business Forecast Report by Business Monitor International (Publisher) includes four major sections: Economic Outlook, Political Outlook, Business Environment and Key Sector Outlook.

Economic Outlook:
How will the American economic policy-making and performance impact on corporate profitability over 2013-2017?

Publisher provides our fully independent 5-year forecasts for the United States through end-2017 for more than 50 economic and key industry indicators. We evaluate growth, and also forecast the impact of economic management.

Economic Outlook Contents
The United States Business Forecast Report features Publisher's forecasts with supporting analysis for 2013 through to end-2017, set against government views and Publisher's evaluation of global and regional prospects.

Key Areas Covered:


Full 10-year forecasts with data - for key macroeconomic variables including GDP (real growth and per capita), population, inflation, current account balance and the exchange rate.

Publisher's comprehensive Risk Ratings system - rates each country worldwide for economic and political risk, and rates the business environment, within a global and regional context.

Written Analysis:

Economic Activity - real GDP growth, employment, inflation, consumption (retail sales and confidence).

Balance of Payments - trade and investment, current and capital account.

Monetary Policy - interest rate trends (bank lending and deposit rates) and inflation (producer price and consumer price).

Exchange Rate Policy - currency controls, foreign investment flows, exchange rates and foreign exchange reserves.

Fiscal Policy - macroeconomic strategy and policies, government finance and tax reforms.

Foreign Direct Investment - approvals, inflows and climate.

External Debt - debt profile (short and long-term plus public and private sector exposure).

Global Assumptions - forecasts for each year to end-2017 covering: major commodities, growth in key regions, inflation, and interest and exchange rates, in the United States, Japan, China and the eurozone.

Key Benefits:

Rely upon Publisher's 100% independent forecast scenarios for the United States and underlying assumptions - we take no advertising and are privately-owned.
Exploit the benefits of Publisher's comprehensive and reliable macroeconomic database on the United States, sourced and fully maintained by Publisher from an extensive network of private sector, government and multilateral contacts.

Gain key insights into the current and future direction of government economic policy, which could significantly affect your company's business prospects, from Publisher's team of analysts and economists.

Political Outlook:

What are the political risks to doing business in the United States over the next 5-years?

Publisher's the United States country Risk Ratings evaluate the short- and medium-term threats to political stability.

Political Outlook Contents:

SWOT Analysis for the American Market - Political Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats facing the United States.

Political Stability and Risk Assessment - Publisher's Risk Ratings assess explicit short- and long-term risks to political stability; latest ratings, rankings and trends for the United States' risk are compared with regional and global averages.

Current Administration and Policy-making Publisher assesses the threats to the continuity of economic policy, and likely changes to the business operating environment.

Key Benefits:

Benchmark the United States' risk profile against its neighbours, the global and regional average, allowing easy comparison of risks between key business markets.

Identify, evaluate and anticipate political and security risks to the business environment, and to your company's current operations and future plans.

Gain valuable insights into government and policy-making, through Publisher's specialist team of analysts and economists, and their network of private and public sector sources.

Business Environment:

Business Environment Risk Ratings with SWOT Analysis - Business environment Risk Ratings for the United States, benchmarked against ratings for regional neighbours.

Country Competitiveness - Competitiveness of the United States' business operating environment in supporting corporate growth and profitability, compared with regional neighbours.

Business Environment Contents:

Domestic Environment - Transparency, cronyism and corruption; labour market flexibility; corporate tax burden; interest rate levels; sophistication of banking sector and stock market; levels of business confidence; infrastructure and IT.

Foreign Direct Investment - Analysis of foreign investment regime; foreign ownership laws; attractiveness of business environment to foreign investors.

Foreign Trade - Analysis of trading environment, government trade policy, liberalisation measures, tariffs and membership of trade areas.

Key Benefits:

Assess your company's evolving exposure to country specific operational and business risks, using Publisher's in-depth analysis of the legal and regulatory business environment.

Understand your market's comparative strengths and weaknesses in the key areas of commercial infrastructure and business institutions, using Publisher's proprietary global Business Environment Risk Ratings.

Key Sector Outlook:

Which industry sectors in the United States will grow fastest, and where are the major investment opportunities in the market?

Publisher's identifies investment opportunities in the United States' high growth industries including automotives, defence & security, food & drink, freight transport, infrastructure, oil & gas, pharmaceuticals & healthcare and telecommunications & IT.

Key Areas Covered:

Market Overview - Size and value of each industry with developments over 2008-2012, covering major industry key performance indicators (KPIs) that have impacted company performance.

5-year Industry Forecasts - Forecasts for each year over 2013-2017, using Publisher's proprietary industry modeling technique, which incorporates all key domestic and international indicators - including economic growth, interest rates, exchange rate outlook, commodity prices and demographic trends - to provide fully integrated forecasts across, and within, each industry.

Demand- and Supply-Side Data/Forecasts - Publisher's industry data covers both the output of each industry and the domestic demand, offering clear analysis of anticipated import/export trends, as well as capacity growth within each industry.

Key Benefits:

Target strategic opportunities in high growth industries, which are benefiting from global mega trends, and thus offer strong investment and growth opportunities.

Compare the growth path of different industries to identify which are best placed to benefit from domestic and international economic prospects, and which have historically suffered from volatile growth trends - a key indicator of future risks.

Spanning over 55 pages, “United States Business Forecast Report Q1 2015” report covering the Executive Summary, Political Outlook, Foreign Policy, Long-Term Political Outlook, Economic Outlook, Balance Of Payments, Monetary Policy, Fiscal Policy, 10-Year Forecast, Operational Risk, Key Sectors.

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