New Market Study Published: Ukraine Oil & Gas Report Q4 2012

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Ukraine Oil & Gas Report Q4 2012", is now available at Fast Market Research

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Boston, MA -- (SBWire) -- 01/08/2013 --BMI View: Seemingly endless gas pricing disputes with Russia colour Ukraine's energy landscape, putting pressure on the country to maximise domestic production and diversify supply sources. Ukraine's vast shale gas potential could prove a long-term solution to its gas supply woes, as international oil companies (IOCs) increase their interest in the country's shale resources. Russia continues to make overtures regarding ownership of Ukrainian gas infrastructure, but these have so far been rejected.

The main trends and developments we highlight for Ukraine's Oil and Gas sector are:

- Ukraine is aiming to increase its natural gas production by as much as 25% over the next three years in order to wean itself off costly Russian imports, Prime Minister Mykola Azarov said in a May 2012 interview. Azarov said two new drilling rigs, one of which was due to arrive on Ukraine's Black Sea shelf by the end of May, will help boost production by 3-5bn cubic metres (bcm) by 2015.
- Oil majors Royal Dutch Shell and Chevron were the winners of Ukraine's two shale gas fields, tendered in an auction that opened in February 2012, according to Reuters' Ukrainian government source. Shell has been awarded the Yuzivska field and Chevron the Olesska field. Ukraine's State Geological Service estimates that Yuzivska and Olesska could hold 2trn cubic metres (tcm) and 0.8- 1.5tcm in gas reserves respectively, a highly optimistic assessment compared with the US Energy Information Administration (EIA)'s estimate of 1.2tcm in recoverable reserves for the whole of Ukraine. Eni also took a stake in Ukraine's emerging shale industry by acquiring a50.01% stake in LLC Westgasinvest, which holds shale gas licence rights in the Lviv Basin.
- In August 2012, a consortium consisting of ExxonMobil, Shell, OMV Petrom and Nadra Ukrainy was awarded a 50-year production sharing contract (PSC) for the deepwater Skifska field, with an estimated 200-250bcm of gas-in-place, in the Black Sea. The group will be expected to begin work on the field before the end of 2012.
- BMI estimates that gas demand will rise from an estimated 54.8bcm in 2011 to 62.0bcm by 2016, climbing further to at least 70.1bcm by 2021. Production could see a gradual rise from an estimated 20.4bcm in 2012 to 22.1bcm in 2016 as current exploration successes are slowly developed over the period. This will further rise to 27.3bcm by 2021 on the back of the beginning of shale gas output. Growing consumption means that import requirement is still set to rise, from 35.7bcm in 2012 to 42.8bcm by 2021.
- Ukraine is planning a liquefied natural gas (LNG) regasification terminal with annual capacity of 10bcm that it hopes will come on-stream in 2015. This will help the country reduce its reliance on Russia's gas export monopoly Gazprom for gas supplies. The government has actively courted Azerbaijan and Qatar for long-term LNG supplies.

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