New Food market report from Business Monitor International: "Tanzania Agribusiness Report Q1 2013"

Boston, MA -- (SBWire) -- 03/15/2013 --BMI View: We are forecasting increases in production across the board for Tanzania in 2012/13. After droughts reduced harvests for corn, rice, sugar and coffee in 2011/12, sustained average or above-average levels of rainfall across most of the country have contributed to a much brighter outlook for 2012/13. Coffee in particular is expected to rebound with vigour, leading to a significant increase in exports that will go some way towards supporting an expected loosening of supply in 2013.

Key Forecasts

- Rice production growth to 2016/17: 30.6% to 1.5mn tonnes. The rice sector will benefit from increased investment from foreign companies, which plan to cultivate rice as a food security crop. New varieties also could boost yields in the medium term.
- Corn consumption growth to 2016/17: 32.1% to 4.8mn tonnes. A combination of enhanced yields (contributing to lower prices) and rising living standards is expected to drive corn consumption growth.
- Coffee production growth to 2016/17: 145.3% to 1.3mn 60kg bags. Although this eye-catching growth can partly be attributed to base effects, the sector is benefiting from investment in improved diseaseresistant trees, and from incentives to small producers.
- 2013 real GDP growth: 7.1% year-on-year (y-o-y), up from 7.0% in 2012; forecast to average 7.2% over 2012-2017.
- Consumer price inflation: 8.0% y-o-y average in 2013 (down from 16.2% in 2012).
- BMI universe agribusiness market value: 14.0% y-o-y increase to US$1.9bn in 2012/13, forecast to increase by an annual average of 4.1% between 2011/12 and 2016/17.

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Industry Developments

Export Trading Group (ETG), an African agricultural commodities supply chain manager, has received more than US$200mn from Pembani Remgro and the Carlyle Group. A substantial portion of the investment will go towards farms in Tanzania where the company will cultivate rice and barley. ETG has more than 7,000 employees across 30 African countries including Tanzania, where it operates 26 processing plants and 600 warehouses.

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