New Fixed Networks market report from Business Monitor International: "Tanzania Telecommunications Report Q2 2013"

Boston, MA -- (SBWire) -- 06/03/2013 --BMI View: Tanzania's mobile market returned to growth in Q312 after recording its first quarterly net subscriptions loss in the previous quarter, increasing the mobile penetration rate to 54%. We retain our view of strong subscriptions growth in basic voice services over our forecast period, through to 2017, considering the relatively low mobile penetration rate. However, we expect operators to ramp up their investments in higher value services, including mobile data, to sustain revenue growth amid increasing regulatory and competitive downward pressure on call tariffs.

Key Data

- The mobile sector grew by just 0.4% in 9M12, compared to 13.5% in the same period in 2011 owing to Vodacom's significant net subscriptions losses in Q212 and Q312.
- Mobile ARPU appreciated for the sixth consecutive quarter after a growth of 6.7% q-o-q in Q312.
- M-commerce users have continued to expand, with M-PESA recording 4.5mn users and total cumulative transaction value of around TZS1trn as of December 2012.
- The fixed-line sector remains resilient despite fixed to mobile substitution, with growth of 4.9% in 9M12.

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Risk/Reward Ratings

Tanzania remained in 14th position this quarter on BMI telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings (RRR) table for Sub-Saharan Africa. The country's aggregate score of 40.1 is less than the regional average of 41.3. Tanzania's weakest rating is in the industry rewards category, reflecting a sharp slowdown in mobile subscriptions growth and downgrade to our five-year forecast. Tanzania's rating in this category was downgraded by a further 2.4pts in this quarter's update. There were no changes to the country's ratings in the remaining three categories of our RRRs.

Key Trends And Developments

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