New Transportation market report from Business Monitor International: "Chile Shipping Report Q4 2014"

Boston, MA -- (SBWire) -- 11/05/2014 --Considerable investment in the expansion of Chile's ports confirms our positive outlook for its ports infrastructure and the wider construction industry. In the immediate term, we expect the port of San Antonio, now the country's largest port, to continue to outperform the port of Valpara?so. The former is expected to continue its solid pace of growth witnessed recently, registering growth in container throughput of almost 10% over our medium-term forecast period to 2018. There is downside risk to our forecasts from the 'Short Law' on ports, currently in parliament, which is widely expected to lower Chilean ports' productivity over the medium term.

We also maintain our positive outlook for Chile's construction industry on the back of an investor-friendly business environment, political stability and a strong pipeline of projects. Although deteriorating investor sentiment and an ongoing slowdown in private consumption will drive real GDP growth lower in Chile in 2014, this still represents a promising outlook. In addition, we expect the Chilean construction industry value to more than double over the next decade, reaching USD51.5bn by the end of our 10-year forecast period to 2023.

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However, we are revising down our 2014 real GDP growth forecast for Chile to 4.2%, from 4.6% previously, as the country's H1 2013 economic performance has reinforced our conviction that lower commodities prices and weakening external demand for industrial metals will weigh on Chile's economy over the medium term. This slowdown in growth is attributable to decelerating economic activity in China which, over the next few years, will result in weakening real demand for Chilean copper exports and reduced investment into the country's mining sector. This slowdown in demand will have a negative effect on Chile's port and shipping volumes.

Our Asia Country Risk team believes the likelihood of a rapid and sustained economic downturn in China is rising, posing downside risks to...

The Chile Shipping Report has been researched at source and features latest-available data and Business Monitor International (BMI)'s independent forecasting, critically analysing international transport of dry bulk and containers. The report evaluates the global commodities and trade backdrop, alongside in-depth country-specific analysis of trade prospects. The report also contains company profiles covering leading multinational and national shipping companies and analysis of latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in Chile.

BMI's Chile Shipping Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the shipping industry in Chile.

Key Benefits

- Benchmark BMI's independent shipping industry forecasts for Chile to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Chilean shipping market.

- Target business opportunities and risks in Chile through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.

- Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company SWOTS on your competitors and peers including multinational and national companies.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering shipping, major investments and projects and significant multinational and national company developments.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's shipping sector, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Market Overview

Analysis of the capacity, terminals and planned development of the major ports in each country, including data on throughput and total tonnage.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historic data series (2008-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Major port freight throughput (tonnes/teu); overall freight throughput (teu); total imports (US$bn) and exports (US$bn).

Company Profiles

Company profiles include business activities, leading products and services, company strategy, trends and developments and economic performance analysis.

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