New Materials market report from Business Monitor International: "South Africa Metals Report Q1 2015"

Boston, MA -- (SBWire) -- 11/17/2014 --Subdued refined metal prices, elevated energy costs, and continued labour unrest will lead to only modest growth in South Africa's metals industry. Nevertheless, positive consumption trends will persist, supported by multi-year growth from the auto, construction, and infrastructure sectors.

We expect just modest consumption growth of refined metals in South Africa in the coming years on the back of our forecast for the country's economic growth to lag those of its peers over the next decade. Still, the automotive, infrastructure, and construction industries will support demand for steel, aluminium, and nickel.

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On the production side, we see further scope for output disruptions due to consistent labour unrest in the mining sector and long-term structural problems such as high electricity prices. Furthermore, a national carbon tax, which was recently delayed but now set to go into effect in 2016, will also be detrimental to investment in productive capacity. Although concessions will potentially be implemented for energy-intensive industries such as steel production, the tax will further weigh on a deteriorating environment for metals production in South Africa.

Due to production weakness across the metals landscape, we expect increased imports in the coming quarters, as investment in South African production facilities will be held back by the glut of metals, particularly steel, on the world market.

The South Africa Metals Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data for steel, aluminium and other major globally-traded commodities. Our analysis covers all primary indicators, including production, exports and price, with our forecasts underpinned by Business Monitor International (BMI)'s macroeconomists global economic outlook. The report analyses trends and prospects and critically evaluates latest industry news, trends and regulatory developments in South Africa.

BMI's South Africa Metals Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the metals industry in South Africa.

Key Benefits

- Benchmark BMI's independent metals industry forecasts for South Africa to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the South Africa metals market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in South Africa through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major projects and investments.
- Exploit the latest competitive intelligence and company profiles on your competitors and peers.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key forecasts and industry analysis, covering metals production and prices, plus analysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.

SWOT Analysis

SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis of the state's metals sector, business environment, politics and economics, which carefully evaluates the short- and medium-term issues facing the industry.

Global Metals Market Overview

Global demand, supply and price forecasts for steel and aluminium, as well as gold, copper and tin, drawing on both our industry expertise and our macroeconomic and financial market team's long-term global demand forecasts and shorter-term market views.

Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below) supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast.

Production (`000 tonnes, US$bn), consumption (`000 tonnes, US$bn), exports (`000 tonnes, US$bn); prices (US$/tonne), and growth (%).

Macroeconomic Forecasts

BMI forecasts to end-2018 for headline country macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth (%), GDP per capita (US$), population (mn), industrial production index (% y-o-y average) and unemployment (% of labour force).

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