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Belgium, Brazil, Cameroon and Canada Country Risk Report Q1 2017; New Report Launched

Market Research Reports, Inc. has announced the addition of “Belgium, Brazil, Cameroon and Canada Country Risk Report Q1 2017” research report to their website


Lewes, DE -- (SBWIRE) -- 11/02/2016 -- An increasingly challenging external environment will hurt fixed investment in Belgium's export-oriented manufacturing sector. Uncertainty about how Brexit will play out over the coming years will overshadow Belgium's economy, given a high degree of trade integration with the UK.

The outcome of upcoming elections in Italy, France and Germany over the next year could significantly impact on Belgium's own political landscape over the coming years.

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Over the long term, Brazil will only experience modest levels of growth as structural headwinds limit any quick economic solutions to the challenges faced from falling global commodity prices. Growth will only return to the economy following two consecutive years in recession in 2015 and 2016.

Widespread public unrest, sweeping corruption scandals and deepening polarisation will keep political risk elevated over the coming quarters, weighing on investor sentiment and contributing to extreme uncertainty in terms of policy direction. Over a multiyear timeframe, the Brazilian electorate will demand progress on promised reforms, including higher-quality public services and greater government transparency.

Major Forecast Changes
We expect Banco Central do Brasil will enact 100 basis points (bps) of rate cuts in 2017, as decelerating inflation and strengthening central bank credibility allow it to shift its focus to supporting economic activity. Nonetheless, our interest rate forecasts are above-consensus, as we believe the bank will pursue a more modest pace of rate cuts in order to ensure the stabilisation of inflation.

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Thriving infrastructure investment in Cameroon will be a significant growth driver in the near future. Furthermore, LNG exports from 2017 will provide the West African nation with an alternative to oil.

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Oil production declines and weak non-commodity exports to the US, where we have recently lowered our real GDP growth forecast, will see economic growth in Canada slow.

Concerns over economic growth and jobs could hurt the Liberal's reelection prospects in 2019, as emphasis on social and environmental policies could be seen to undermine efforts to support provincial economies.

Canada's central bank will begin gradual monetary policy normalisation in 2017, as economic activity starts to recover. Recovering oil prices will support Canadian dollar appreciation against the US dollar over the remainder of 2016 and in 2017.

Major Forecast Changes
We have lowered our real GDP growth forecasts for Canada from 1.4% and 2.0% to 1.0% and 1.5% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. We have lowered our end-year consumer price inflation forecasts from 2.0% and 2.2% to 1.3% and 1.8% in 2016 and 2017, respectively.

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