New Energy market report from Business Monitor International: "China Power Report Q1 2015"
Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 01/21/2015 -- Our Country Risk team has slightly upgraded our 2015 real GDP growth forecast for China, but our outlook for the power sector remains relatively stable. This is because we continue to expect growth in electricity generation and consumption to slowdown in 2015. In terms of electricity generation, the country's growing pollution woes have prompted the central and state-level governments to try and reduce coal-fired generation while encouraging cleaner and costlier alternatives, as reflected in a revised energy strategy that was published by the State Council in November 2014. We note, however, that t hese alternatives are generally not as scalable or have as short a turnaround time as coal projects. As a result, greater use of these alternatives will lead to a slowdown in generation growth. On the consumption end, we believe that the hangover effects of China's economic stimulus are yet to be felt, and cooling credit growth is likely to reveal these effects over the coming quarters.
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In terms of fuel mix, conventional thermal sources play a key role and are expected to continue to dominate electricity generation over the coming years, as many projects under construction or planned will use coal or gas and as Chinese efforts in prospecting and exploiting conventional oil and gas resources are set to increase. While other sources of power will play increasingly important roles, China will remain reliant on coal for its power generation over the next decade. Energy poverty is a key concern in the country and coal will remain the only realistic option for providing cheap and abundant energy for the local population over the medium term. Yet, rising coal prices are once again a key threat to the profitability of power generation companies operating in the domestic segment and Chinese utilities have placed collective pressure on the government to moderate proposed restrictions on imported coal, highlighting the difficulties China has in balancing the...
The China Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.
The China Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.
- Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for China to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
- Target business opportunities and risks China's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in China
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI?s key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
BMI?s Power Forecast Scenario
Forecasts to end-2024 for all key indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecasts:
- Generation: Electricity generation total, thermal, coal, natural gas, oil, nuclear, hydropower, hydro-electric pumped storage and non-hydropower renewables.
- Transmission and Distribution Losses: Electric power transmission and distribution losses.
- Trade: Total imports and exports.
- Electricity Consumption: Net consumption.
- Electricity Capacity: Capacity net, conventional thermal, nuclear, hydropower and non-hydroelectric renewables.
BMIs Power Risk Reward Index
BMIs Risk Reward Indices provide investors (power companies, service companies and equity investors) looking for opportunities in the region with a clear country-comparative assessment of a market?s risks and potential rewards. Each of the country markets are scored using a sophisticated model that includes more than 40 industry, economic and demographic data points to provide indices of highest to lowest appeal to investors,
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