Lewes, DE -- (SBWIRE) -- 10/08/2015 -- While planting of the winter wheat crop went well and is reportedly in good condition, the substantial gain in output in 2014/15 informs our forecast for wheat production growth to decline in the 2015/16 season. German pork producers will remain under pressure, owing to the ban on meat imports from Western countries that has been imposed by Russian authorities. On the other hand, sugar production could expand at a reasonable pace over the coming years, owing to an increase in growing areas and yields, as well as the potential end to the EU's sugar production quota in 2017.

Key Forecasts
Milk production growth from 2013/14 to 2018/19: 21.0% to 37.1mn tonnes. Modest growth will be supported by export demand and higher prices, and held back by sluggish domestic consumption and the demise of smaller producers.

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We retain our position that the Tanzanian coffee industry will perform well over the medium term. The grains industry in Tanzania will remain less competitive than in other countries in the region, particularly South Africa and Zambia, and we see very little potential for the country to become a major grains exporter. The Tanzanian sugar sector will see limited production growth in the next few years, largely due to low sugar prices and the fact that Tanzania scores poorly on productivity measures compared to its regional neighbours.

Key Forecasts
- Sugar production growth 2013/14 to 2018/19: 2.5% to 323,000 tonnes. Production growth will be limited by lower prices, lower productivity compared to regional neighbours and ongoing imports from nearby countries.
- Corn consumption growth to 2018/19: 4.7% to 5.5mn tonnes. A combination of low prices relative to previous years and rising living standards is expected to drive corn consumption growth.

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