Fast Market Research recommends "Iceland Business Forecast Report Q1 2013" from Business Monitor International, now available
Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 02/21/2013 -- Core Views
We remain generally optimistic towards Iceland's long-term growth prospects, however there will be no return to the fast growth seen during the pre-crisis period.
While the government remains committed to EU membership talks we fear that it is increasingly running out of time ahead of parliamentary elections in 2013 which will likely return an EU-sceptic government to power.
Over our 10-year forecast period, we see Iceland enjoying a high degree of political stability, given a very solid security environment, few societal dividing lines and a high standard of living.
Major Forecast Changes
We have revised up our 2012 real GDP growth forecast from 2.4% to 2.1% following the publication of H112 GDP figures. However, we remain below the consensus growth figure, and expect other institutions to revise down their forecasts over H212.
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Key Risks To Outlook
Global economic conditions could deteriorate markedly, stifling Iceland's export-driven recovery.
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