New Energy research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 10/24/2014 -- Italy is trying hard to appeal to international investors, with the government reorganising its holdings in gas and power grid networks. The first results are promising with an imminent EUR2.1bn deal by China's State Grid International Development (SGDL) to b u y a 35% stake in Italy's power grid. But the country is still suffering in the face of economic challenges and the austerity measures proposed to turn the economy around are unpopular. As such, it is of little surprise that E.ON has officially announced the will to sell its Italian operations with Gazprom, Edison and Erg rumoured as potential buyers. In addition, the sluggish economic performance is also having an impact on electricity consumption levels - we have lowered our forecasts last quarter. In the short term at least, we forecast that the renewable energy sector and transmission and distribution projects present the best opportunities for growth. Our view is confirmed by the new energy policy unveiled in August 2014 (Sblocca Energia). It aims at providing a lighter bureaucratic burden for new energy infrastructure investments and guaranteeing minimal earnings, based on regulated tariffs, for gas transmission and distribution projects.
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Gas-fired power plants account for just under half of Italy's electricity generation capacity, and this figure is unlikely to change over our ten-year forecast period 2014-2013; but a government ruling means this gas will come from conventional sources and not shale gas exploration. The gas-fired power market is likely to see changes over the course of our forecast period. After heavy investments during the pre-crisis period in combined cycle gas fired plants, this market has found itself, due to a consumption contraction driven by an economy in protracted recession, with an extensive overcapacity. In what appears as a texbook case of regulatory capture the government is set to announce a new capacity market regime. Rumours suggest the new...
The Italy Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.
The Italy Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.
- Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Italy to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
- Target business opportunities and risks Italy's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Italy
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.
The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country, incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations, as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.
BMI Industry Forecasts
The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:
Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal, Coal, Gas, Oil, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section, we provide information on electricity generation (TWh), % growth year-on-year, KWh per capita, and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal, gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.
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