Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 11/20/2014 -- Argentina's power generation grew by 5.3% in 2014, as the Atucha II nuclear plant went online after years of delays - a crucial step in the government's ambitious nuclear expansion plan. Nevertheless, the country continues to suffer from poor power infrastructure and insufficient installed capacity, as highligh ted by an agreement to start import ing Bolivian power by the end of 2015. The recen t sovereign default has further damaged the business environment and prompted us to expect the country to remain primarily dependent on Chinese financing for power projects in the short term (particularly in hydropower). However, we hold a much more positive outlook for the country starting from 2016, when a GDP rebound and the possibility of a new course in economic policy after the elections in October 2015 could trigger broader international investment in Argentina's vast untapped potential.

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Argentina's power sector remains in poor shape, with a combination of ageing domestic electricity generating capacity and distribution networks, delays to projects for new capacity and a reliance on electricity imports combining with economic woes to deter the sector's prospects. Thermal-based sources, primarily natural gas, remain the cornerstones of the electricity mix - with more than 63% of power generated from oil-, gas- or coal-fired power plants and hydropower providing the next largest contribution (about 25%). Despite government efforts to diversify the electricity mix away from unreliable hydropower and costly thermal imports, including recent agreements with China and Russia to build nuclear power facilities, we do not expect to see a significant shift in the electricity mix during the course of our 10-year forecast period to 2023.

Due to a lack of significant additions expected so far for this year, we forecast total power generation to grow only by 0.9% in 2015. Nevertheless, Argentina's power outlook is brighter over the longer...

The Argentina Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Argentina Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

- Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Argentina to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
- Target business opportunities and risks Argentina's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Argentina
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Regional Overview

The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country, incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations, as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.

BMI Industry Forecasts

The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal, Coal, Gas, Oil, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section, we provide information on electricity generation (TWh), % growth year-on-year, KWh per capita, and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal, gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.

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