Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 02/11/2014 -- The broadband sector outperformed the mobile and fixed telephony sectors in 2012 and 2013, albeit from a low base, on the back of investments in next generation wireless and wireline access technologies, including 4G LTE and FTTx. Although we expect this trend to continue for most of our forecast period to 2017, we caution that service providers need to find ways to diversify their offerings further in order to sustain revenue growth amid growing market saturation and stagnating revenues from traditional services.

Key Data

- The mobile market declined by 2.8% in 9M13, partially offsetting FY12 growth of 13.2%.
- The fixed-line market grew by 2.4% in 2012 and 0.8% in 9M13 to maintain a remarkable uptrend, despite fixed-to-mobile substitution.
- The broadband market grew by 24.1% in 2012 and 14.8% in 9M13 to bring the broadband penetration rate to 19.6% by the end of September 2013.
- Mobile and fixed-line ARPU trended downwards in the 12 months to September 2013, while broadband ARPU trended upwards during the same period.

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Risk/Reward Ratings

Moldova is in 23rd and last position in BMI's CEE Telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings table for Q114, scoring below the regional average on all four ratings categories and with the addition of five new countries for 2014 pushing it further down the ratings. The country's lowest scores were in the industry rewards and country rewards category, reflecting slow subscription growth and declining ARPUs, as well as a low rate of urbanisation and GDP per capita.

Key Developments

Moldova's National Regulatory Agency for Electronic Communications and Information Technology (ANRCETI) announced in November 2013 that the tender for the allocation of additional frequencies had failed to attract any bidders. Frequencies in the 1900MHz and 2100MHz ranges, which are used for 3G capacity, were advertised by ANRECTI in September 2013 for 3G UMTS and CDMA2000 use for a period of 15 years. However, the country's existing operators that already held spectrum in those bands were prevented from bidding. The starting price for the unsuccessful public auction was set at EUR6.2mn (US $8.4mn) for a Block A licence of 2x14.8MHz paired blocks, and EUR2mn (US$2.6mn) for the 1x15MHz Block B concession.

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