Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 10/29/2014 -- The Dutch economy rebounded in the second quarter of 2014, having posted a surprise contraction in the first three months of the year. Moreover, the economy has expanded at a time when Germany, France and the broader eurozone have slowed. While we still hold to a fairly constructive view for the Dutch economy over the medium term, we warn that the eurozone slowdown and precariously weak inflation across the euro area mean that the risks to our core forecasts are tilting to the downside.

Following a sharp contraction in real GDP during Q114, and given persistent sluggish demand across the euro area, the Dutch economy will post only modest growth in 2014. Moreover, with the European Central Bank (ECB)'s recent efforts to provide monetary stimulus still falling short of the shock and awe strategy that the eurozone needs to quash the threat of deflation, we warn that the Dutch economy is at increased risk of sliding back into recession.

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According to the latest data provided by the Dutch Statistical Office real GDP expanded by 0.5% quarter-on-quarter during Q214, effectively reversing the 0.4% q-o-q contraction during the first three months of the year. Moreover, the Dutch economy picked up momentum at a time when the eurozone has lost steam. Indeed, on the back of a sharp reversal in the German GDP data from growth of 0.8% q-o-q in Q114 to a contraction of 0.2% in Q214, and a second successive quarter of zero growth in France, the eurozone economy stalled altogether in Q214 following anaemic growth of 0.2% in the first quarter.

The different freight modes in the Netherlands are set to register steady, if uninspiring growth in 2014. The outperformer in year-on-year (y-o-y) terms is set to be rail freight with annual gains of 3.62% . Road freight is the mode that will handle the most freight by tonnage volume at 564.177mn tonnes.

Headline Industry Data

- 2014 Port of Rotterdam tonnage throughput is forecast to grow 0.50% to 442.666mn tonnes. Container traffic to...

The Netherlands Freight Transport Report has been researched at source, and features latest-available data covering commercial transport and logistics by road, rail, air and water; industry forecasts, company rankings covering leading national and multinational operators; and analysis of latest industry trends, opportunities, projects and regulatory changes.

Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Netherlands Freight Transport Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Dutch freight transport and logistics industry.

Key Benefits

- Benchmark BMI's independent freight transport industry forecasts on Netherlands to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the strategic freight transport market.

- Target business opportunities and risks in the Dutch freight transport sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Netherlands.

- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs, and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering freight transport and logistics, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the freight sector and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Industry Trends And Developments

Analysis of latest projects across the freight transport sector (road, rail, air, sea and logistics) including market overview which provides an outline of the key elements driving development.

BMI Industry Forecasts

Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry and macroeconomic indicators, supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:

Transport Sector: Sector Value (US$bn); sector real growth (%); employment (`000); total freight carried by road, rail, inland waterways, maritime, air and pipeline (mn tonnes-km/mn tonnes)

Trade: Exports and imports (US$mn) by category of goods (manufactured goods, food, chemicals etc.); top-5 import and export trade partners (US$mn); imports/exports to each global region (US$mn)

Port Data: Throughput (`000 tonnes) and container throughput (TEU) for all major ports in the state

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