Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 09/15/2014 -- Although we expect Germany remain a safe haven and to outperform many of its regional rivals over the remainder of 2014, we caution that a number of challenges may threaten the health of the economy. An upcoming challenge to the real estate segment as a whole stems from the recent geopolitical crisis between Russia and Ukraine. EU sanctions placed upon Russia are expected to generate widespread uncertainty within the economy. As a major trade partner, Germany may face further setbacks to their industrial real estate segment.

Despite the recent economic downturn, Germany has managed to retain its status as a 'safe haven' among investors while the country continues to possess one of the world's most important commercial real estate markets. Germany must, however, grapple with its troubled industrial segment as stagnating export demand and EU sanctions on Russia expected to hurt the German economy during Q414.

As one of the world's most developed economies, Germany's performance in the real estate market is perceived to reflect the health of the wider German and wider eurozone economy. The country has experienced a relatively robust situation going through 2014 with a healthier macroeconomic environment helping to support growth in real estate rental rates. Lower unemployment rates and strengthening consumer confidence have allowed retail rental rates in particular to increase in two of the four cities we monitor.

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The troubled industrial segment saw orders slide at their steepest rate during June since September 2011. Challenges continue to stem largely from declining export demand from emerging markets such as China's. This is likely to cultivate an increasingly conservative outlook and force decision makers to delay expansion plans. Despite logistics real estate achieving record levels of market activity during Q114, transactions returned to normal levels between April and June, according to Colliers International.

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The Germany Real Estate Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts of major construction projects in the residential and commercial markets, plus rental prices and yields in major cities. The report critically analyses the prospects for real estate within the broader economic and financial context - both domestic and global - via our econometrically-modelled and clearly explained banking and economic forecasts and follows this through to evaluate the implications for REITs.

BMI's Germany Real Estate Report provides industry professionals and strategists, sector analysts, business investors, trade associations and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the real estate industry in Germany.

Key Benefits

- Benchmark BMI's independent real estate industry forecasts for Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the German real estate market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in Germany through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments.
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Company Profiles (inc. SWOTs, KPIs and latest activity).

Coverage

BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis covering real estate and construction, regulatory changes, major investments and projects and significant national and multinational company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the real estate sector and within the broader political, financial, economic and business environment.

Market Overview

Overview of the real estate sector, including analysis of existing/planned real estate developments and emerging industry trends in the office, industrial and commercial sectors.

Market Analysis

Features detailed city-level data and analysis on rental prices, yields, contract terms and real estate availability with separate chapters covering the office, retail and industrial sub-sectors.

Industry Forecast Scenario

Historical data series (2010-2012) and forecasts to end-2018 for the domestic real estate industry and for the local and global finance industry. Indicators include:

Real Estate: Office, retail and industrial real estate yields for all major cities (%); short-term forecasts on minimum and maximum real estate rental prices by sub-sector (US$ per square metre, and local currency per square metre)

Construction: Industry value (US$bn); contribution to GDP (%); employment (`000); real growth (%)

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