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New Market Study, "Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q1 2014", Has Been Published

Fast Market Research recommends "Nigeria Telecommunications Report Q1 2014" from Business Monitor International, now available


Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 01/27/2014 -- Despite the dominance of mobile-based voice and data services, BMI believes there are strong growth prospects for next generation fixed network services in the country. Some alternative operators, notably MainOne, IPNX and MTN, are positioning themselves to take advantage of the emerging opportunities in the fixed network sector by deploying fibre-based infrastructure in business districts and highbrow residential neighbourhoods in major cities, to offer high-value converged services. We expect this trend to continue as operators resolve their differences over right-of-way with government authorities at different levels.

Key Data

- Mobile subscription growth slowed to 0.8% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q313 due to the large net loss reported by second largest operator Glo and sluggish growth by market leader MTN and fourth-ranked Etisalat.
- Mobile ARPU decline continued in Q313 due to the impact of cuts to mobile termination rates in April 2013.
- The fixed-line sector contracted by 5.3% in Q313 and 23.6% in the 12 months to September 2013.
- The number of mobile data users grew by more than 120% in the 12 months to September 2013.

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Risk/Reward Ratings

Nigeria regained top position this quarter on BMI's Q1 2014 Risk/Reward Ratings (RRR) for Sub-Saharan Africa. Nigeria's aggregate score is boosted by comparatively high Industry Rewards, Industry Risk and Country Risk scores, reflecting high voice and data services growth potential, regulatory independence and strong private consumption growth outlook. However, Nigeria's Country Rewards score is held back by a low GDP per capita and high unemployment rate.

Key Trends And Developments

Nigeria's Ministry of Communications announced that the federal government, the government of Lagos State and telecoms industry stakeholders have come to an agreement on right of way and taxation for the deployment of mobile base stations and fibre optic cables in the country's commercial capital. In BMI's view, the agreement lays the foundation for a much more stable and welcoming business environment for telecoms operators in Lagos State and will hopefully create a precedent for similar deals in other parts of the country.

The Nigerian government has warned that, starting from January 1 2014, service providers in the telecommunications sector that do not meet previously agreed targets would be prevented from further expansion of their subscriber base. The Minister of Communications Technology, Mrs. Omobola Johnson, also said the ministry in conjunction with the CPC and other relevant agencies of government had commenced a working relationship that would make it possible for government to prevent incessant abuse of consumer rights by the operators in the industry.

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