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New Market Study Published: Serbia, Montenegro and Kosovo Business Forecast Report Q4 2013

Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Serbia, Montenegro and Kosovo Business Forecast Report Q4 2013", is now available at Fast Market Research

 

Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 08/22/2013 -- BMI Ratings - Brief Methodology

Political Ratings

The political ratings are an indicator of political stability, seen as a pre-requisite for a stable economy and business environment. The long-term political rating considers more structural elements such as: Is there a functioning democracyc Are there free and fair electionsc Is there separation between party and statec Have recent governments pursued similar, enlightened policies amid a stable political environmentc The short-term political rating considers more transient influences such as: Have there been recent large-scale demonstrations or strikesc To what extent have these threatened the political status quoc Is unemployment currently a potential source of political instabilityc What is the current position in the political cycle - to what extent is this contributing to political riskc Is the government having trouble passing legislationc

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Economy Ratings

The economy ratings assess the degree to which the country approximates the ideal of non-inflationary growth with contained fiscal and external deficits and manageable debt ratios. The ratings use as raw material historical data and forecasts fed in from BMI's country databases: as historical data are revised and forecasts change, so the ratings change. Factors in the long-term rating include GDP growth, unemployment, inflation, real interest rates, exchange rates, the fiscal balance, the current account balance and external debt. A number of other structural factors are also thrown into the equation, including dependence on the primary sector, reliance on commodity imports, reliance on a single export sector and central bank independence. The factors included in the short-term rating are a subset of those in the long-term rating.

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