New Transportation research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 10/21/2014 -- In 2014, BMI forecasts total vehicle sales in Poland to increase 13.1%, to some 399,466 units. This comes on the back of a forecasted 16% increase in passenger car sales and 0.2% decrease in the commercial vehicle (CV) segment.
The country's improving consumer sentiment is increasingly filtering through to big-ticket purchases such as new cars, and we forecast 16% growth. Despite a large decline in the early part of 2013, the country's car market saw a resurgence in the latter months of the year, bringing the full-year growth rate to 6.0%. This surge in passenger car sales over the course of the year was on the back of broader improvements in the country's consumer story, which we expect to continue into 2014.
In 2013, light commercial vehicle (LCV) sales increased 7.1%, to 42,182 units, and heavy trucks increased 20%, to 19,715 units. Economic data suggest that the country's manufacturing and industrial sectors resurged on the back of export-led growth to Europe. Furthermore, construction activity picked-up in the latter part of the year. These dynamics helped buoy wider economic activity in Poland, and we believe they have been the primary driver of the uptick in CV sales over the year. In 2014, we expect these dynamics to continue to boost CV sales, and accordingly forecast the LCV segment to increase 5.8% and the heavy truck segment to increase 3.8% over the year.
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Vehicle production has declined sharply in Poland in recent years; passenger output is the main driver in volumes terms, and it is mostly export-orientated. Sales across Europe, the country's main trading partner, have been generally weak and sales volumes remain low. Having said that, however, the regional passenger car market has shown some signs of resurgence in recent months, and this has helped moderate declines in Poland vehicle output. CV production is primarily for the domestic market, and this has remained fairly strong throughout the year.
For 2014, we forecast a 4.3% increase in vehicle...
The Poland Autos Report features the latest data and forecasts covering production, sales, imports and exports.
Business Monitor International (BMI)'s Poland Autos Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, auto associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the automotives market in Poland.
- Benchmark BMI's independent automotives industry forecasts on Poland to test other views - a key input for successful budgetary and planning in the Polish automotives market.
- Target business opportunities and risks in the Polish automotives sector through our reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes and major deals, projects and investments in Poland.
- Assess the activities and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape Analysis.
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts and views, covering production, sales and the introduction of new technology or products.
Global, Regional and Country Industry Overviews
In-depth analysis of the major global and regional developments in the market, which can be linked with the country industry overview, providing cross-country investment, product and financing trends that will affect each market, supported by BMI?s global and regional industry forecasts.
Business Environment Rankings
BMI's proprietary Autos Business Environment Rankings are a unique country-comparative Risk-Reward Rankings index that separately analyses the risks and rewards of operating in each market. It is aimed at investors (including manufacturers, suppliers and dealers) who seek to either identify and compare market opportunities, or evaluate country-specific operational challenges.
The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of over 40 industries, economic and demographic data points.
BMI Industry Forecasts
Historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus analysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:
Total production value (US$bn); total production of units; production by vehicle-type (including cars, commercial vehicles, trucks and buses); total sales value (US$bn); sales by vehicle-type, including passenger cars and commercial vehicles (vans and microbuses, pickups, trucks and buses, 4 wheel drive); total exports by value (US$bn) and by units; total imports by value (US$bn) and by units; contribution to GDP; employment in industry.
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