Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 08/29/2013 -- The economy is recovering, but with fiscal cuts looming and unemployment stubbornly high, the rate of growth will be fairly tepid.

Given the marked slowdown in domestic and global economic activity, we expect the Bank of England to raise the asset purchase programme ceiling to GBP500bn from GBP375bn at present.

Despite numerous ructions between the ruling Conservatives and Liberal Democrats, we expect the coalition government to hold firm through to the next parliamentary election in 2015.

Major Forecast Changes

There are no major forecast changes this quarter.

Key Risks To Outlook

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Downside Risks To Medium-Term Growth: There are significant downside risks to our economic growth forecasts, particularly stemming from the impact of fiscal consolidation and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis.

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