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South Africa, Indonesia and Kosovo Telecommunications Report Q4 2015, New Report Launched

Market Research Reports, Inc. has announced the addition of “South Africa, Indonesia and Kosovo Telecommunications Report Q4 2015” research report to their website


Lewes, DE -- (SBWIRE) -- 08/18/2015 -- The South African mobile market is highly competitive and at 159% has one of the highest penetration rates in Africa. BMI believes organic growth in the market has now run out of steam, with average annual growth for the next four years estimated at only 1.14%. Intense competition, exacerbated by new MVNO me&you mobile launching in May 2015, will see mobile ARPUs gradually decline. We expect regulatory progress on spectrum management and network sharing agreements to remain slow, resulting in increasingly aggressive moves to cut costs as operators seek to maintain their profit margins. Similarly to the global trend, the South African telecoms market is moving towards consolidation, with a merger between mobile operators Vodacom and Neotel due imminently.

Key Data

- The mobile market grew by 1.5% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) in Q115 to bring total subscription base to 82.995mn.

- Market average average revenue per user (ARPU) declined by 11.9% in 2014 owing to intensified competition - though it showed signs of improvement in Q414 and Q115.

- 3G subscriptions accounted for 34.7% of the mobile market in 2014.

- The broadband market grew by 10.4% in 2014 to 7.6mn subscriptions.

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The launch of 4G in the refarmed 1,800MHz spectrum has stimulated 4G network expansion in Indonesia, with at least six operators announcing ambitious expansion plans. However, strong take-up is not expected in the near term, due to the high prices of smartphones and limited spending power.

Furthermore, minimum local content requirements could have the effect of increasing production costs and, subsequently, the prices of smartphones. On the other hand, Indonesia's fibre broadband sector presents a positive outlook for growth. With the entrance of 'disruptive' ISP MyRepublic into the fibre broadband market, coupled with heavy investment from both the private and public sector, better connectivity and lower prices can be expected.

Increasing saturation of the mobile market and declining voice revenues will force Indonesia's largest telecoms operators to focus on the development of next-generation fixed and mobile data networks. The country's mobile operators are accelerating their tower outsourcing and managed services strategies in order to reduce operating costs. This is a sensible move considering their weak bottom line performances.

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The Kosovan telecommunications market offers few opportunities for prospective and existing investors alike. The wireline voice sector is small and the ageing infrastructure woefully under-utilised. Few alternative players have the means or the appetite to compete for a small user base. The mobile market is only a little more competitive, but with one MVNO having expired investors are advised to look elsewhere for growth opportunities. The wireline broadband market is more rounded, with a wider mix of players, yet there is really only one alternative player of note. The lack of consolidation in this fragmented market implies there is little value to be unlocked and plummeting mobile ARPUs indicate that consumer spending appetites are weak. Against this backdrop, there is the recurring problem of political interference in policysetting and the on-off privatisation of incumbent PTK.

Key Data
Mobile penetration expected to stay below 100% through to 2019 as operators prove unable or unwilling to reach into rural areas. Boosted by the launch of 3G services, steady but modest subscription growth is forecast for 2015-2019, culminating in 1.778mn subscriptions.

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