Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 03/21/2014 -- The outlook for South Africa's metals industry is increasingly troubled as persistently low output prices, rising energy costs and further aggressive wage negotiations by unions are set to plague the sector. Metals consumption growth will perform better than production growth as demand from the autos sector steadily increases. We expect this demand growth to be met largely by increased imports, as investment in South African production facilities will be held back by the glut of metals such as steel on the world market.

In terms of the domestic market, metals consumption will track broader economic growth in South Africa, which is expected to be slow but steady with a modest recovery expected over following years. We see autos production growth as a key driver of metals consumption. We forecast autos production to grow by an annual average of 3.2% over 2013-2017, while construction industry value will grow by 3.5% annually over the same period.

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