Lewes, DE -- (SBWIRE) -- 08/21/2015 -- United States Real Estate Report: The US commercial real estate market is growing due to a growing US economy. It further profits from an improving business environment, inflation rates and consumer confidence. Despite the dominance of local players, there is an increasing number of foreign investors who want to secure investment in a ´´safe haven``. This trend can be explained by the security the US real estate market offers as well as good revenue margins. Following robust growth in 2014, we expect 2015 and 2016 to continue in similar lines, with new properties entering the market stabilising costs and vacancy rates in all sub-sectors and cities.

The US economy is set to grow at a more rapid pace in 2015, supported by lower oil prices, a tightening labour market and improving sentiment, although rising external headwinds will see that growth remain relatively subdued. We forecast real GDP growth of 2.5% in 2015, up from 2.4% in 2014. Over the long term, global headwinds and a rebound in imports will cap real GDP growth below historical

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Australia's real estate sector continues to attract investment; indeed, as the mining sector slows we expect to see higher volumes of investment in private construction as commercial property yields become more attractive. Not all sectors stand to benefit, with traditional department stores in particular seeing falls in revenue and footfall as price-conscious shoppers increasingly turn to online vendors.

Shopping centres are holding steady, with many customers preferring the convenience of all-in-one shopping locations. Moreover, although the current price drop could slow long-term production levels for iron ore and coal, in the interim, additional port terminals for these commodities are likely to support continued demand for industrial warehouse space. Overall, we see the greatest longer term potential in Perth and Brisbane, but the best short-term opportunities in Melbourne.

Australia's real GDP growth continued to slow in Q115, coming in at 2.3% y-o-y versus 2.4% in Q414. Although in seasonally adjusted q-o-q annualised terms, there was a pick-up in growth to 3.7% in the first quarter of 2015, from 1.9% in Q414, the trend remains a slowing one. Therefore, we maintain our real GDP growth forecast of 2.3% in 2015 (versus 2.7% in 2014) amid the ongoing terms of trade reversal.

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While the remainder of 2015 is likely to see the slowdown in the real estate sector continuing, it is hoped that the election of a new government in October 2015 will remove some of the economic and political uncertainty and help to bring about more business friendly policies, resulting in the resumption of economic growth from 2016 onwards. This in turn, should filter through to all sectors including real estate, generating recovery and stronger performance in the medium term.

Despite recent uncertainties, economic indicators point to a recovery in Argentina from next year. GDP growth, estimated to be 0.1% in 2015, is set to rise to 1.5% in 2016 and average at 3.8% per annum thereafter. Inflation remains very high, but recent months have seen the rate of increase slowing, Publisher forecasts 17% inflation for 2015. Private consumption has been declining in recent months in light of rising prices and unemployment, but is forecast to grow by 0.6% this year and recover further from 2016 onwards. Business confidence has been falling and capital investment has turned negative in 2015 as investment decisions have been put on hold, however, a turnaround is expected as the economic and political climate improves.

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With the Greek economy making a slight turnaround, we expect an improvement of the wider macroeconomic situation to also support a recovery of the commercial real estate market in the long term. However, in the short term, rental rates are expected to decline almost across the board, with the only exception in the Thessaloniki retail market with stability expected into 2016. Although there are several positive indicators, the economic recovery remains highly fragile and uncertainty continues to dominate the market atmosphere.

The commercial real estate sector closely mirrors the general economic trends of the country and as such has suffered significantly in the Greek economic crisis over the past six years. Over the past two years indicators have shown the national economy to be improving ever so slightly, and with the recent acceptance of economic bailout measures, the country should stabilise over the next five years. As we expect this to be a key point for steady economic recovery, we also expect the commercial real estate market to show signs of slow but steady growth in 2015.

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