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New Market Report: Germany Power Report Q4 2014

New Energy research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research


Boston, MA -- (SBWIRE) -- 10/16/2014 -- Reform of Germany's EEG has proceeded relatively smoothly and is likely to slow the pace and cost of the Energiewende to more sustainable levels. That said, there has been no significant change to the policy trajectory . A s such, w e maintain that the Energiewende will erode German competitiveness and the structural challenges facing traditional utilities will remain in place in 2014 and 2015.

Although reform of the Renewable Energy Sources Act (EEG) may slow the pace of renewables expansion so as to reduce the costs associated with the Energiewende (energy transition), we forecast Germany will continue to register rapid growth in renewable-based electricity generation. As such, Germany will retain its position as a global renewables powerhouse, but this will have significant implications for the economy and structural problems in the utilities sector are unlikely to recede.

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While amendments to the EEG will cap growth in renewables at a more sustainable level, Germany's green energy targets are still hugely ambitious and there is little to indicate a change in direction with regards to renewable energy policy. Our view is supported by the fact that the German public remains broadly in favour of the Energiewende, despite concerns that households have borne that cost of the transition while export-oriented businesses have been shielded from the renewables surcharge. As such, our core views remain in play:

A Gradual Erosion Of German Competitiveness: Despite the reforms, the Energiewende will lead to higher electricity prices over the next decade and ultimately damage the competitiveness of German industry. This will continue until Germany either reverses its commitment to renewable energy or adopts a more accommodative fiscal policy - both of which are unlikely under the current government. Furthermore, the government will not be able to protect industry from higher energy costs indefinitely, as workers will ultimately demand higher...

The Germany Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal, gas, oil, nuclear, hydro and non-hydro renewables), electricity consumption, trade, transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.

The Germany Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes, recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales, market share, investments, projects, partners and expansion strategies.

Key Benefits

- Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Germany to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
- Target business opportunities and risks Germany's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Germany
- Assess the activities, strategy and market position of your competitors, partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.


BMI Industry View

Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts, views and trend analysis, covering power markets, regulatory changes, major investments, projects and company developments.

Industry SWOT Analysis

Analysis of the major Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats within the power sector, and within the broader political, economic and business environment.

Regional Overview

The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country, incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations, as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.

BMI Industry Forecasts

The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions, in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:

Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal, Coal, Gas, Oil, Nuclear, Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section, we provide information on electricity generation (TWh), % growth year-on-year, KWh per capita, and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal, gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.

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